Monthly Archives: July 2009

Tucson MLS Statistics June 2009

Posted by on July 10, 2009 1 comment

Let me start off and say that the Numbers on this chart are different from the previous posts, as the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) changed numbers to reflect the statistics that came in after the cutoff date. I did not see this until this month when the numbers were really different. You can compare what they reported in the May post. With that all said, we have really seen improvement with 115 additional sales over the last month and 130 additional Listings under contract during June. The Active listings are down by 245 units. All this is really good and really cements the fact that we have hit the bottom and are starting back out. I still feel we may see a hiccup with the foreclosures but this should be able to be handled by new sales.

Jan.
2009		 Feb.
2009		 Mar.
2009		 Apr.
2009		 May
2009		 Jun.
2009
Average Sales Price
$206,282
$221,371
$203,464
$192,315
$202,747
$208,952
Median Sales Price
$162,500
$177,500
$165,000
$163,900
$690,000
$165,000
Total Units Sold*
613
693
923
931
1024
1139
Active Listings
7694
7532
7415
6890
6506
6261
Days On Market
83
85
85
78
85
80
Listings Under Contract**
941
1020
1208
1345
1302
1432

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.

** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

Read my post from a couple of days ago about The $8000 Federal Tax Credit. I feel this program is assured of being extended but not sure if more people will be allowed to use it. The Bill in the Senate calls for $15,000, but I really do not think that will happen. If you are a first time buyer (not owned a home in 3 years) I would advise starting to look now. Homes around $150,000 are getting harder to find in good condition and with the popular amenities (A/C, garage, etc.). There is a lot of junk at the moment. Expect the $150,000 priced homes to go above $152,000 and higher in nicer subdivisions. The current Tax Credit will cause more sales and leave fewer good properties on the market.

If you see something you like, get it under contract right away because it will be gone if you wait! You also need to get your “Loan Status Report” (LSR) from your Lender which means you need to get that loan process started. No LSR, no contract, as the contract calls for it to be part of the contract.

If Congress puts out a bill for say a $8000 Tax Credit (extend the current 1 December cutoff date) for anyone buying a personal residence (except investors) this will make our market move faster and have a lot of owner occupied listed homes. It should bring up the prices of foreclosed and short sale homes.

If you are think of purchasing I would suggest you start looking now. Call or e-mail me for assistance. I can give you the name of a couple of good Loan Representatives. You can reach me on my cell at 520-240-7130.

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$8000 First Time Homebuyer Tax Credit

Posted by on July 7, 2009 1 comment

I have been watching the $8000 Federal Tax Credit and what it has done to help reduce the number of listings for sale in Tucson. I can not put an exact number on the sales purchased by a buyer that qualifies to receive the credit, but I know it is a large portion of our sales. The program is to expire on December 1, 2009. I know there is a bill in the Senate to increase the Federal Tax Credit amount to $15,000 and allow, I believe, anyone purchasing a personal residence to get the credit. I am fairly certain this will happen to extend the time frame, but not sure about the other parts of the bill. My suggestion is to use a larger portion of the “Economic Stimulus“  for home purchases. I would suggest keeping the $8000 or possibly $10,000 Tax Credit and allowing anyone who is purchasing a personal residence to use the program. I would take it to July 1, 2010 for an expiration date. I would not announce the extension until November of 2009 as we want the homes to close that are subject to the current Tax Credit. This is also why I think it should remain at $8000, so it will not cause a buyer to walk away from a transaction they may have in escrow.

1 Billion Dollars would generate 125,000 sales. 10 Billion will generate 1,250,000 sales. We have spent less than 10% of the Economic Stimulus at this time according to the news I am reading and seeing on TV. Why are we doing all these stupid projects that are nice but not what we need to jump start the economy?

Do you realize that each home purchase will generate some sales of appliances, furniture, home products not to mention the movement costs to a mover or rental truck company. Many of these items will generate jobs to sell the items and to produce the items. Now that is what jump starts the economy, not turtle tunnels, mouse habitat or some of the other dumb (see remark at end of this post) projects that are to happen. Fund that at a later date from State Tax revenue.

The new home builders will also go back to work and employ construction people and all related vendors to build, and generate many jobs for each local and State economy.

When will our Federally elected Representatives finally get it through their heads that we can not spend what we do not have. We do not have what it takes for this program but it makes more sense than what I have seen so far.

EDIT: 07/08/2009
We received a comment from a reader who pointed out that some of these special projects, specifically the turtle tunnels, would create many jobs and would help with the economic recovery.  While this is true, and perhaps my use of the word dumb reflected on the individual projects but was meant to reflect on the personal agendas of some politicians, these personal pork barrel projects, in my opinion, have no place in this bill. These projects, if they have true value, should stand on their own merit and not be passed by the use of political magic. These projects probably will have economic value, but this value will be limited primarily to their specific locations.

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