Category Archives: Statistics

Tucson MLS Statistics November 2011

Well here we are in the Month of December and almost Christmas. November was a good month and  continued what I felt would happen in the last quarter of the year. I feel we have reached the bottom of the market in Tucson. October and November are showing improvement and December should be about the same as November which should finish out the year on a positive note.

Jun.
2011
Jul.
2011
Aug.
2011
Sep.
2011
Oct.
2011
Nov.
2011
Average Sales Price
$167,172 $173,141 $154,944 $150,699 $151,812 $158,434
Median Sales Price
$126,000 $125,000 $122,200 $117,500 $120,000 $122,000
Total Units Sold*
1312 1124 1106 1064 982 1015
Active Listings
5566 5412 5167 5155 5290 5191
Days On Market
79 76 73 80 74 78
Listings Under Contract**
2163 2009 2121 2059 2070 1996
Sales Over $500,000
51 52 24 19 21 33

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

Everything shows improvement except the listings under contract went below 2000 units which gives me some concern. A large percentage of this number is Short Sale and REO homes which may be due to the Holidays coming up and people want to wait until January. I know I have a buyer that is thinking that way. I really think we are in a break out position as far as Tucson is concerned. Our Inventory has been very steady and we are not getting a large number of homes for sale. If you stop to think about that, you will see that not many homes will go on the market because most of the Sellers will owe more than what the home is worth today, so we do not see that upward or downward movement of Sellers to Buyers as in years past.

Now here is another thought. The people that lost their homes two years or more ago, and who have cleaned up their credit except for the Short Sale of their home, are entering the time frame where they may qualify for a FHA Loan. It will be available for those who can qualify. If you are in this part of your life and still want to purchase, start checking with a good Lender. As time goes by the numbers will increase and the inventory will go down as prices start back up, I hope at a modest increase. We do not need another 2005.

If our wonderful Government would only get their act together we might see National Improvement, which would bring people back to Arizona again, because we have a great place to live. All we need is a great place to work and Great Schools and we would all be better off. I know we all have our different opinions, but I ask you how good has this Administration been for you? They had it all for two years and squandered it all, for most of us. You do not create jobs by taxing and spending. You create jobs by helping businesses grow and hire which is not where we are today. Tax, tax and spend, spend(with money we do not have) on things that should not have the priority that was done.

Our freedoms are being taken and we just sit and argue about who is right. We must start reducing our countries expenditures to get back to a balanced budget. We now are a society of what I want, I want it today, even if I have to pay for many years. What happened to just plain CASH. No cash, no buy. I know credit is great, but manage it well within your means. You do need some credit to buy a home. No Credit, you may not be able to buy, but manage that credit well.

I guess one of these days I need to write a Blog about what I feel. I know it will cause some to not like me, but that is OK, as we should all be able to express our opinions. I spent 21 years in the Air Force and never worried about, was I liked. My job needed to be done and all I expected was RESPECT. Follow the Rules and we all get along. If you are paid for eight hours of work, give eight hours of work. Be on time, and by all means do your job right, so someone does not have to fix your mess. Your mess costs your employer and I question why you are still there!

I want to wish all my readers a MERRY CHRISTMAS and a Happy New Year. Make 2012 the best year of your life, and help anyone that you can, as so many are hurting. My small church in Vail, Grace Fellowship, takes this as their, shall we say Mission. They have partnered with many, to help others. They want to help the Vail Community and schools, so others may be able to get back on their feet.

I hope you noticed that I was not politically correct and wishing you Happy Holidays as I believe in the greatest history book out there which is the Holy Bible. What was good for our forefathers should still be good for us. Why are the few allowed to dictate to the many. There is space for each of our beliefs, so don’t try to shut down the other person.

Again Merry Christmas to all and to all a good night

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Tucson MLS Statistics October 2011

I think October was good month with all the statistics looking better. I still believe we will hit bottom before the end of the year. Prices and Interest rates are at all time lows and we are seeing more calls to look at properties. Total units Sold did come down but Listings under Contract went up a small amount.

May
2011
Jun.
2011
Jul.
2011
Aug.
2011
Sep.
2011
Oct.
2011
Average Sales Price
$168,453 $167,172 $173,141 $154,944 $150,699 $151,812
Median Sales Price
$127,000 $126,000 $125,000 $122,200 $117,500 $120,000
Total Units Sold*
1247 1312 1124 1106 1064 982
Active Listings
5795 5566 5412 5167 5155 5290
Days On Market
80 79 76 73 80 74
Listings Under Contract**
2239 2163 2009 2121 2059 2070
Sales Over $500,000
45 51 52 24 19 21

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

There are some Bond programs out there for 2.99% that you should look into. Family Housing Resources offers some down payment assistance if you qualify. Did you know you can buy almost any home in the Vail zip code of 85641 with no money down. Closing costs are still required. Call me if you what to talk about this USDA program.
Thanksgiving is just around the corner so I want to wish all my readers a happy Turkey day.
Call me at 240-7130 if you need help.
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Tucson MLS Statistics September 2011

Well, September has come and gone and now we are in the last quarter of the year. Is my prediction of hitting the bottom and starting back up going to happen? To be very honest I question that, but I am still seeing signs of a small housing recovery in many areas of the US which will eventually filter down to Tucson. I am not talking new homes but Resale homes in Tucson. Our Inventory continues to go down over the last six months which means we are keeping up with the homes coming on the market.

Again we have had some changes that were not for the good, but the changes were small. Sales of homes over $500,000 numbers are still dropping. This has more effect on the Average Sales price than the Median, but our Median did drop almost $5000 from August which surprises me as Sales were down by just 42. This next month will probably be key to our recovery for the last quarter.

Apr.
2011
May
2011
Jun.
2011
Jul.
2011
Aug.
2011
Sep.
2011
Average Sales Price
$173,981 $168,453 $167,172 $173,141 $154,944 $150,699
Median Sales Price
$132,000 $127,000 $126,000 $125,000 $122,200 $117,500
Total Units Sold*
1152 1247 1312 1124 1106 1064
Active Listings
6269 5795 5566 5412 5167 5155
Days On Market
83 80 79 76 73 80
Listings Under Contract**
2610 2239 2163 2009 2121 2059
Sales Over $500,000
51 45 51 52 24 19

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

Again I have seen some good statistics on spending which can work its way into housing. Interest rates are still at all time lows, but do not expect them to stay this low for much more than six months.

Jobs are still the prime factor of when we will really start out of this terrible spot we are all in. If you have a good job that is safe, you better be very thankful, as you are part of the lucky ones. I think a lot of our lives could change if we just looked at our Tax Code, Taxes and OIL. WHY, when we sit on more of the worlds reserves do we continue to buy from other countries? Do not believe what is said by the administration that we only have 2% of the world reserves, as the statement is flatly false, based on our own governments statistics. Just another scare tactic to stop us from drilling. We have the technology to drill and protect the environment but we do not create the jobs in that area and produce much cheaper Oil for the US, that the money stays in the US.

Call me at 240-7130 if I can help you with a owner occupied home, or you want to buy investment homes. We have a Lender right here in Tucson that will allow, I believe up to 10 homes, that the Lender keeps in their portfolio.

Have a safe Halloween.

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