Tag Archives: contract

Tucson MLS Statistics August 2011

Posted by on September 19, 2011 No comments

Our Average and Median Sales prices went down again, but I really attribute this to more lower priced homes selling than higher priced homes. I will have to look at last months statistics to see how many higher priced homes sold. I may have to quote that number to show how it affects the Average and Median Sales prices.

I did look this up and I feel I am right as there were only 24 homes that closed above $500,000 in August as compared to 52 in July. I will add these numbers to our table and watch this statistic also. This will have a bigger factor in the Average Sales Price and a small factor in the Median Sales Price.

Total units Sold was 18 less sales than the previous month, still OK. Active listings has continued down over the last 7 months, which is also OK. Listings under Contract went back up from a low in July, which is OK. Average for, Tucson Days on Market, dropped 3 days, which is OK.

Mar.
2011		 Apr.
2011		 May
2011		 Jun.
2011		 Jul.
2011		 Aug.
2011
Average Sales Price
 $163,590 $173,981 $168,453 $167,172 $173,141 $154,944
Median Sales Price
 $125,000 $132,000 $127,000 $126,000 $125,000 $122,200
Total Units Sold*
 1169 1152 1247 1312 1124 1106
Active Listings
 6703 6269 5795 5566 5412 5167
Days On Market
 84 83 80 79 76 73
Listings Under Contract**
 2152 2610 2239 2163 2009 2121
Sales Over $500,000
 33 51 45 51 52 24

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

All in all I would not call August a bad month, but a good solid average month, for where we are. I am still thinking this last quarter of 2011 will see us start to level out and price and sales pick up slightly.

I keep track of Notices of Sale, which become Short Sales or Foreclosures, and the number that was in the paper was much higher than my count (838). I did not keep the article but I know my number was lower. I am just looking at Residential and that may be the difference in the numbers, but not sure. Next month I will start posting my count so we all can see how the Notices of Sale are affecting our Tucson Market. These number are for Pima County and include areas not in the Tucson Metro Area, but should be a good way to measure where we are and how soon we might start out of the bottom.

With prices where they are, and interest rates hovering around 4.5%, I can not stress how important the next few months are if you are ready to purchase. Why not call me to discuss what to do. Call me on my cell at 240-7130.

 

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Tucson MLS Statistics April 2011

Posted by on May 19, 2011 No comments

What a difference a month makes. I hate to make too many predictions but I feel by the end of the 3rd Quarter, Tucson will be on its way to healing our local Housing Market. Will we be out of the woods? No, but I think we will see the market leveling and possibly a lower inventory that will cause prices to reverse the downward trend. So many home sellers would be upside down if they tried to sell right now so they will not put their home on the market for a while. At the same time I have seen a slowing of Foreclosure Notices being recorded.

The Foreclosure Notices have decreased, but is that due to fewer people in trouble or the Banks letting it slide while they extract themselves from Court actions that have happened all over the US. The inventory of REO’s has slowed, but I can attest that is due to the Banks not completing the Foreclosure after the 91st day. I have one that has been extended at least five times with no Contract, and the only reason I can see is the problems the Banks had with Robo signers. I am not sure why this should affect Tucson or Arizona as we are a Deed of Trust State which does not require a Court action as do many of the Eastern States who operate under Mortgages. What ever the reason, it has slowed the recordings of Notices. Fewer Notices, fewer REO’s from Foreclosure and fewer Short Sales. As this part of the inventory shrinks and the sellers that are upside down do not try to sell, the Inventory gets smaller and the number of buyers wanting to buy gets larger, we will see prices starting to increase.

 

Nov.
2010		 Dec.
2010		 Jan.
2011		 Feb.
2011		 Mar.
2011		 Apr.
2011
Average Sales Price
 $180,736 $186,399 $166,998 $182,388 $163,590 $173,981
Median Sales Price
 $139,900 $139,500 $134,250 $137,000 $125,000 $132,000
Total Units Sold*
 800 907 780 879 1169 1152
Active Listings
 7455 6859 7147 6947 6703 6269
Days On Market
 96 106 108 107 84 83
Listings Under Contract**
 1900 1760 2013 2272 2152 2610

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

Our State, but mostly in the Phoenix area, has seen its more than fair share of Foreclosures. We are just one of a few States that really got in trouble. But what about those other States that they can sell today and move to Tucson. This too will increase that buyer pool that will help push our prices back up. What is back up? Do not expect large or fast increases, but we will start to dig our way back out of the hole. I hope to see a 3%-5% increase each year for the time coming. This was the norm for many years. Some areas of Tucson did better but this steady increase is much better for our community.

The other point, if you think you will wait, is interest rates. THEY will go back up, and I think sooner than later. I again expect by the end of the 3rd quarter rates will be above 5.5% and probably closer to 6%. Our National economy is really in the tank and there are some good signs, but as long as Congress spends more than is brought in, we are in trouble. With our divided government we will not make much headway to improve our lives. We need a change!!

I personally have been busy and I thank the good Lord for that, but I have time to do more. If I can help you, call me. Use my website www.BarryFotheringham.com to gain access to our MLS as much as you want. If you are a renter use www.AbilityRentalHomes.com to find that rental. If you are a renter, why not see what you can buy instead of renting. It is much closer than you think. Call Elaine DeTour-Spronken at NOVA Home Loans at 520-202-5343 to see what you can do. She is excellent and I have used her for years for my clients. She is very Service orientated and will give you straight answers.

Since I have not had time to really say what I feel and think I have kept my posts short, but this should help you see what is coming in the next six months to a year.

Why not call me and get ready to buy?

 

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Tucson MLS Statistics March 2011

Posted by on May 10, 2011 No comments

I can not believe so much time has gone by since I looked at the statistics below. I have been very busy showing property and trying to get Escrows to close. Let the Buyer beware!!

If you are doing a contract that is an as-is, do not expect to get much done on repairs. Make your price reflect the repairs in your initial contract and be sure you have the funds to do the necessary ones. If you are buying an REO with FNMA, DO NOT expect them to pay anything that they have not agreed to in their addendum. They will walk you down to closing and not pay for anything that is not called out in the Appraisal.

And speaking of appraisals… I just had one that we provided the appraiser a proposal to replace 30 broken and missing roof tiles, and fix roof due to water stain on front roof exterior. The appraiser did not write it up and said they do not have to do roof certs anymore. That was a $1200 repair. Let the Buyer Beware!!

We had a number of closings in March, but some of the other statistics did not hold up to improvement. BUT just wait, as that will change. I see maybe six more months of small decreases and then upward movement. Interest rates and housing prices will start up so I suggest you have purchased by December so you can lock in payments that are lower than renting. This will probably be the lowest pricing you will see for a number of years. When demand picks up the new homes will still be more expensive for about six months into 2012 and then they will get closer, but higher.

Oct.
2010		 Nov.
2010		 Dec.
2010		 Jan.
2011		 Feb.
2011		 Mar.
2011
Average Sales Price
 $177,133 $180,736 $186,399 $166,998 $182,388 $163,590
Median Sales Price
 $140,000 $139,900 $139,500 $134,250 $137,000 $125,000
Total Units Sold*
 752 800 907 780 879 1169
Active Listings
 7412 7455 6859 7147 6947 6703
Days On Market
 97 96 106 108 107 84
Listings Under Contract**
 1899 1900 1760 2013 2272 2152

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

If you have the ability to get going on your home purchase, call me soon so you can get into your own Home before rates change and they will.

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