The numbers for June did some minor adjustments that seem good to me. I am getting concerned about our Economy cooling. We are not generating enough jobs to get the economy moving and I really do not see it happening soon. Our Government seems to be stuck on political sides. The Government needs to stop spending on really stupid projects. The current Administration said they would keep unemployment below 7%. How is that working out for everyone. They pushed Healthcare through and now premiums are going up and I know this is going to really hurt better than 50% of our population. The Healthcare Bill cost time to get people back to work as Congress did nothing to really help get people back to work. The Democrats controlled both the Senate and the House and they could not take time to do the mandatory budget and now we are fighting over our debt limit because of all the spending. We need to bite the bullet and get this done.

We need a complete rewrite of the Tax Code and get rid of the special tax breaks, such as Ethanol. We need to start producing oil from the fields that are ready to go. Our President has caused all of us to pay more for gas and food because HE STOPPED the permitting and production in the Gulf after the BP disaster. By the way an accident is not reason to stop all production. We should be putting people to work generating oil so our prices could go down.

I am so disenchanted by the current administrations claims that they are doing things that will help, but it is just small things that are not generating many jobs. He speaks one thing, but does something else.

My wife and I are reading “The Obama Nation” which was written before he was elected. I feel the author has done a lot of research and the book scares me. I believe Obama has lied or deflected his answers so he would not have to disclose his associations with many unsavory people. He really is a Chicago Politician. He pulled the wool over a lot of people’s eyes. I just hope the voting public listens to what he says and then what he does.

I still think that Tucson will see prices stabilizing the last quarter of this year. Our Inventory is still going down each month since January. I still have some fear the Banks will start foreclosing on more of the properties that they have delayed the process on. I know they are doing it as I have one they have delayed each month for over six months.

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.
* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

Total Units Sold has also increased each month since January. We did have a drop of 76 units for June in Listings under Contract but this number has been going up and down since January also.

If our Economy could get a boost from our Government finally getting something done we could see a marked improvement. I believe OIL could be a game changer but with our current President it will not happen soon. He has us by the throat and most do not see it. How is he working out for you and your family and friends?

Call me if You need help buying as now is the time if you can do it. Call me on my cell at 520-240-7130.

What a difference a month makes. I hate to make too many predictions but I feel by the end of the 3rd Quarter, Tucson will be on its way to healing our local Housing Market. Will we be out of the woods? No, but I think we will see the market leveling and possibly a lower inventory that will cause prices to reverse the downward trend. So many home sellers would be upside down if they tried to sell right now so they will not put their home on the market for a while. At the same time I have seen a slowing of Foreclosure Notices being recorded.

The Foreclosure Notices have decreased, but is that due to fewer people in trouble or the Banks letting it slide while they extract themselves from Court actions that have happened all over the US. The inventory of REO’s has slowed, but I can attest that is due to the Banks not completing the Foreclosure after the 91st day. I have one that has been extended at least five times with no Contract, and the only reason I can see is the problems the Banks had with Robo signers. I am not sure why this should affect Tucson or Arizona as we are a Deed of Trust State which does not require a Court action as do many of the Eastern States who operate under Mortgages. What ever the reason, it has slowed the recordings of Notices. Fewer Notices, fewer REO’s from Foreclosure and fewer Short Sales. As this part of the inventory shrinks and the sellers that are upside down do not try to sell, the Inventory gets smaller and the number of buyers wanting to buy gets larger, we will see prices starting to increase.

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

Our State, but mostly in the Phoenix area, has seen its more than fair share of Foreclosures. We are just one of a few States that really got in trouble. But what about those other States that they can sell today and move to Tucson. This too will increase that buyer pool that will help push our prices back up. What is back up? Do not expect large or fast increases, but we will start to dig our way back out of the hole. I hope to see a 3%-5% increase each year for the time coming. This was the norm for many years. Some areas of Tucson did better but this steady increase is much better for our community.

The other point, if you think you will wait, is interest rates. THEY will go back up, and I think sooner than later. I again expect by the end of the 3rd quarter rates will be above 5.5% and probably closer to 6%. Our National economy is really in the tank and there are some good signs, but as long as Congress spends more than is brought in, we are in trouble. With our divided government we will not make much headway to improve our lives. We need a change!!

I personally have been busy and I thank the good Lord for that, but I have time to do more. If I can help you, call me. Use my website www.BarryFotheringham.com to gain access to our MLS as much as you want. If you are a renter use www.AbilityRentalHomes.com to find that rental. If you are a renter, why not see what you can buy instead of renting. It is much closer than you think. Call Elaine DeTour-Spronken at NOVA Home Loans at 520-202-5343 to see what you can do. She is excellent and I have used her for years for my clients. She is very Service orientated and will give you straight answers.

Since I have not had time to really say what I feel and think I have kept my posts short, but this should help you see what is coming in the next six months to a year.

Why not call me and get ready to buy?

With the Holidays in the month of December, I think we did pretty well.We had 907 Sold Units but a lower number of Listings under contract which I can see is probably the result of the Holidays. Days on market went way up to 106, but Median and Average Sales price did well.

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

I am working with more buyers since the 1st of the year and think this will continue. Rates are still low but I am not counting on it staying below 5% for much longer. Short Sales and REO property are still dominating the market but this month and last month at least showed us in a holding pattern. If the inventory drops as it did this month we might see a small increase in pricing.

Many of the Banks are taking their time before foreclosing on properties and this will hold the listings down for a month or so. If the unemployment decreases and jobs start up again, I think we will slowly come out of this economic crisis we have been in. The more homes that sell in other states gives us a good chance to pick up some buyers that want warmer climates and are ready to retire. It has happened many times in the past 30 years and it will happen again.

I am still available to assist you in buying or selling. I have Short Sale experience to assist you, if you are in that unfortunate position. Call me at 520-240-7130.

I wish you all a great new year.

Well this month we are close to, or better than last month, but at least we are holding steady. Still a lot of Short Sales and Foreclosures which are dictating our pricing. Interest rates have gone back up by about .5% to about 5% and I expect to see it go even higher.

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

We will soon have a better balance in the House and Senate which I am praying will start healing our Economy. The public got shorted when this was not the highest priority back in 2009. The extension of the Bush Tax cuts for two years will help but it still does not let the job makers know where they will be at the end of the two years. We have got to pull in the reins on spending if we are ever going to get out of this debt we are establishing.

Here is a concept, why don’t we work for the public and not your re-election or party. Come to agreement on what’s good for the people who got you there. Stop the Pork add on, and let your request stand by it self, or how about letting the States decide what they want.

Well anyway I hope you all have a Merry Christmas and a Happier New Year than this last one.

If I can help you for any Real Estate reason call me at 520-240-7130

Well the other shoe dropped and things are still going down. Most all categories I list have gone in the wrong direction.The only positive item is the Listings under contract which continues to go up since July when we had a big drop.The number of 1899 shows contracts still in escrow at the end of the month. This is probably due to Short Sales and possibly REO listings that are taking time to close and continue to push the number higher as they do not close for a longer time. Over all we really had a down month.

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

We did see a large slowing in foreclosure filings, but on November 9th they starting hitting again. I keep running into owners that move out of their homes as soon as they get the Notice of Sale. Why??? There are so many better ways to save their credit, while trying to get a Loan Modification and then a Short Sale if the Mod will not work. Some times they can be in their home for many months before the problem is resolved. The Lenders really do not want the homes back, when the owner could help get it sold and not have to wait a longer time before they might qualify for a new FHA loan.

I can help with your up coming foreclosure or your Notice of Sale which gives you at least 91 days from the date of the filing.

If you are a buyer, prices are at, or near, the bottom and interest rates are at Historical lows. Let me help you get your loan qualification going and find that great home for you.

Call me at 520-240-7130 or our office at 520-296-7143 with your request for help or start that home buying process.

Here we are in August and Christmas is soon upon us. I sure hope our Economy is not due for a lump of coal. But, if things keep going the same way, I am afraid we are all going to get that lump of coal. Unemployment is still hanging at 9.5 % and I know I have no idea what my tax situation is going to be over the next 4 years. I know many businesses are afraid to hire or spend the cash they are saving as they too are not sure what is coming down the line. Bills were passed, but the real outcome is still not totally known. I am hard pressed to believe any normal person would not want to know what they were really voting for, but it seems it is a rush to get things passed in Congress to our detriment. I am in favor of Healthcare but not the way it is supposed to happen. If they pass a Climate Change Bill we will be paying and paying for mother nature. Can we afford it? I am so tired of the lies, and not the total truth coming out of our Government. Government is getting bigger and bigger and telling States how to run their business, when they do not obey the laws already on the books.

Enough!!!!

Well July was a mixed bag as a large number of properties now have Pending Contracts. This really surprised me, but I think interest rates had a big part to do with that. Even though that number went up the Total Unit Sales dropped by 378 units which did not surprise me.

Update 08/16/2010: I am adding this after corrections by MLS. The number was not 1703 as reported but 990 for Pending Contracts which keeps me more in line with downward pressure on number of sales in the coming months.

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.
* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

I still think we will see lower prices for 3-4 months getting us passed the election. The Federal Reserve has some ideas they are working on, but I still see Businesses not knowing what is going to happen and will stay on the sideline instead of hiring. They have learned they can get by with fewer people so why hire unless they know they will really grow. The reduced number of hires will still affect housing as it will not allow more buyers to enter the market.

We need a robust economy and History has shown that raising Taxes will not get it done. We are again getting ready to receive a tax increase because of the expiring tax cuts that were done in stages back a few years ago. Those expiring tax cuts WILL kill our economy for a much longer period if most of them are not extended before the end of the year. You really need to understand what they really are and that they affect ALL of us in not a good way if not extended.

I can not tell you how to Vote, but be sure you look at how you are making out now and what needs to be changed. CHANGE, were did I hear that before? We here in Arizona and especially Tucson are subject to Lower wages (why is that?) and an influx of Illegals that we have to pay for, with Police, Fire, Schools and that all important Medical. I grew up in a small town with many Legal Hispanic Friends in school and neighbors. I never gave it a thought that they were Brown because they were friends and Americans. MY brother and one son have Hispanic wives and I would not trade them for anything. They are and have always been my family. There is a right way and a wrong way to enter this country but we are now at a spot where we have to come up with a smart answer that makes sense. I am glad I do not have to give the answer, but something needs to be done to bring this problem to a halt. We have rights in this state but we can not enforce those rights according to our(?) GOVERNMENT. So be smart and look at who you are Voting for, but Vote. I already sent in my early mail ballot.

May was a month that had some negatives but a few positives in total units sold of 1270 and and days on market coming down from 87 to 66. All other statistics went in the wrong direction to show that we are in for a rough six months for now. If the Economy does not pick up we will have too many homes on the market and too few buyers. Prices will have to go down to compensate for the larger numbers of homes for sale. Look at the drop in homes under contract which is just for those placed under contract during the month of May. It shows a 600 reduction from the month before. This is not good. I expect this number to be even lower for June.

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.

** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

If you are about ready to buy, get your loan qualification out of the way and obtain your Loan Status Report(LSR). Call a Lender and make an appointment. You will be faced with a large number of Short Sale properties and Lender owned (REO) properties on the market. If you have 3 to 6 months and you can wait, a Short Sale might be attractive. Just remember you may have higher interest rates after six months. Right now 5% is what you will find. If you wait, you may have a less expensive home but an interest rate at 5.5% or higher.

New Rule!! Once you have your credit report done by a Lender DO NOT buy Anything on time. That means those no interest payments also. Lenders for most loans will be pulling your Credit report again just before closing and it might cause you to lose the Loan because you do not Qualify due to that purchase you put on your credit card or a new purchase contract. After you are in your home and made the first payment and you can see your financial way to purchase something on time go ahead. Be Careful!!

If I can help you purchase or sell a home please call me at 240-7130. I have over 30 years of experience, as well as owning my own company, which once had over 40 agents. I have not seen it all, but just about. This has been the most trying time for everyone so let one of the best help you.

I am really late getting this up, so I will be short on my comments. September numbers will be out in a week or less. Numbers of Sold are down. So much of the inventory is Short Sales and REOs that it is really hard to know what is happening month to month. I have been experiencing buyers who have contracts on two (OR MORE!!!) Short Sale properties just waiting to see what will happen and then choosing one. This is wrong!!!! We have developed an addendum to handle our listings to hopefully stop this. We have just concluded the third buyer leaving on a property as they purchased another but kept the contract open until we told the selling agent we had an approval to sell the property. Where is the fair dealing in this? Someone is going to get sued or the agent brought before our Realtor Organization for ethics violations. Beware!!!!!!

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

I am really sure we will see some sort of extension of the Credit program. This program makes a lot more sense than the Cash for Clunkers as it causes so many more things to happen because of the sale. New appliances, paint, landscaping, and I could go on and on, but I know you see the value also. I think there are four or more Bills in Congress right now. It will happen.

Call me if I can help you. 520-240-7130

Let me start off and say that the Numbers on this chart are different from the previous posts, as the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) changed numbers to reflect the statistics that came in after the cutoff date. I did not see this until this month when the numbers were really different. You can compare what they reported in the May post. With that all said, we have really seen improvement with 115 additional sales over the last month and 130 additional Listings under contract during June. The Active listings are down by 245 units. All this is really good and really cements the fact that we have hit the bottom and are starting back out. I still feel we may see a hiccup with the foreclosures but this should be able to be handled by new sales.

The figures on this table are subject to change due to late reportings and corrections. These changes are reflected in the next months statisical blog post after we receive the updated information. For this reason you will find inconsistencies if you compare the data on multiple tables.

* Closed during the month.

** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)

Read my post from a couple of days ago about The $8000 Federal Tax Credit. I feel this program is assured of being extended but not sure if more people will be allowed to use it. The Bill in the Senate calls for $15,000, but I really do not think that will happen. If you are a first time buyer (not owned a home in 3 years) I would advise starting to look now. Homes around $150,000 are getting harder to find in good condition and with the popular amenities (A/C, garage, etc.). There is a lot of junk at the moment. Expect the $150,000 priced homes to go above $152,000 and higher in nicer subdivisions. The current Tax Credit will cause more sales and leave fewer good properties on the market.

If you see something you like, get it under contract right away because it will be gone if you wait! You also need to get your “Loan Status Report” (LSR) from your Lender which means you need to get that loan process started. No LSR, no contract, as the contract calls for it to be part of the contract.

If Congress puts out a bill for say a $8000 Tax Credit (extend the current 1 December cutoff date) for anyone buying a personal residence (except investors) this will make our market move faster and have a lot of owner occupied listed homes. It should bring up the prices of foreclosed and short sale homes.

If you are think of purchasing I would suggest you start looking now. Call or e-mail me for assistance. I can give you the name of a couple of good Loan Representatives. You can reach me on my cell at 520-240-7130.

I really think we are holding and may be very close to the bottom. I have been showing property to two clients, one under $130,000 in the Northwest and the other under $180,000. The $180,000 client has quite a number of homes to choose from but almost all are “Lender owned” or “Short sales”. The $130,000 buyer has very little to look at and again “Lender owned” or “Short sales”. The thing that really hit me was when I was signing in upon showing a home I found a lot of other agents names had signed in over the previous two days. Buyers are looking!! This will help reduce inventory, as has happened over the last month where we see a drop of 525 Active listings at the end of April. Total units sold is down 10 closings over last month but listings under Contract is up by 141 more units. This all makes me think we are very close to the bottom. The numbers are looking steady and ready to start climbing.

_{* Closed during the month
** For the current month (not the total listing under contract)}

There is more consumer confidence and the stock market is above 8400 for the DOW at this moment. A friend of mine told me he eats out a lot and is finding the restaurants are very busy and he has wait times again. Things are getting better but again what is all this Government spending going to cost us down the road.
 
If you have not owned a home in the last three years you really should see if you can purchase, as you can get an $8000 credit on your taxes next year and get up to that amount in a check from the IRS. Look into it soon, as this expires on December 1st 2009.
 
If I can help you in any way please contact me on my cell 240-7130.